Lecture notes: Reykjavik, 1986

pictures ¦ video

Origins of the Cold War

US and the USSR are united in the Second World War

Germany falls apart — Hitler commits suicide

  • the US and the USSR are moving into the German sphere and into Germany itself
  • they are occupying different parts of it

major long-term consequences

  • fall into two spheres of influence

divisions

  • Nato vs. the Warsaw Pact
  • Washington vs. Moscow
  • Capitalism vs. Communism
  • Democracy vs. authoritarianism

The Iron Curtain

  • a speech Winston Churchill gave on March 5, 1946 in Fulton, Missouri
  • cf. the kinds of iron curtains you find in theaters

Some modifications:

  • Yugoslavia and Albania — not liberated by the Russians — manage to stay outside of Soviet sphere of influence
  • Russians actually withdraw from parts of Austria — become a neutral country
  • German is divided in two parts — East and West

The Berlin Blockade, 24 June 1948 – 12 May 1949

Berlin is divided between all Allies

  • complication since Berlin is wholly inside East German territory

one of the first major international crises

  • the Soviet Union blocked the Western Allies’ railway, road, and canal access to the sectors of Berlin under Western control
  • the Berlin Airlift from 26 June 1948 to 30 September 1949 to carry supplies to the people of West Berlin
  • over the course of the airlift, cargo planes made thousands of flights, delivering supplies to the city around the clock

how is it resolved?

  • In May 1949, the Soviets lifted the blockade, allowing land and water routes to be reopened

consequences?

  • a divided Berlin and a divided Europe

The Marshall Plan

European Recovery Program

  • US aid to Western Europe.
  • transferred over $15 billion (equivalent to $130 billion in 2019) in economic recovery

shortage of dollars in Europe

  • the money allowed them to buy things from the US, for example

technical expertise

  • how to run companies “the American way”

Impact?

Soviet Union a participant?

  • the Soviets participated in some initial planning meetings
  • Stalin pulls out — worried that it would allow too much US control
  • pressurizes East European countries to reject the aid

another step towards a divided Europe

NATO, North Atlantic Treaty Organization

  • treaty signed on 4 April 1949

military defense of the Western allies

  • countries associated with the US

today 30 members

  • only North America and Europe
  • headquarters in Brussels

collective defense

  • independent member states agree to mutual defense in response to an attack by any external party

but some discussion regarding that …

the actual wording:

“The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognised by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.”

The Warsaw Pact

  • founded May 1955 in Warsaw, Poland, hence the name

uniting the countries of the Soviet sphere

The Suez Crisis

29 October 1956 – 7 November 1956, an invasion of Egypt in late 1956 by Israel, followed by the United Kingdom and France. The aims were to regain control of the Suez Canal for the Western powers and to remove Egyptian president Gamal Abdel Nasser, who had just nationalized the canal.

The Hungarian Uprising

Was a nationwide revolution against the Hungarian People’s Republic and its Soviet-imposed policies, lasting from the 23rd of October until the 10th of November 1956. Leaderless at the beginning, it was the first major threat to Soviet control since the Red Army drove Nazi Germany from its territory at the End of World War II in Europe.

The Sputnik Crisis

The satellite was launched on October 4, 1957, from the Baikonur Cosmodrome. This created a crisis reaction in national newspapers such as the New York Times, which mentioned the satellite in 279 articles between October 6, 1957, and October 31, 1957 (more than 11 articles per day).

McCarthyism

speech by senator McCarthy,  February 1950

  • Senate Committee for Un-American Activities
  • hold hearings

US hunt for Communist spies

  • get rid of all left-leaning people
  • media, Hollywood, state department, universities
  • “why we lost China”

left-leaning movements very strong in the US

  • socialists in Kansas etc
  • strong labor movement

ruined thousands of people’s lives

  • obviously authoritarian

Second Berlin Crisis 1961, 4 June – 9 November 1961

the USSR launched an ultimatum demanding the withdrawal of all armed forces from Berlin

  • including the Western armed forces in West Berlin

the crisis culminated in the city’s de facto partition with the East German erection of the Berlin Wall

  • a lot of people in areas under Soviet control could walk over to the Western side of the city
  • continue on to the West

very embarrassing for the Soviets

  • the build a wall

Cuban Missile Crisis, 16 October – 20 November 1962

Audio: http://www.cubanmissilecrisis.org/background/original-historic-%20sources/audio/

  • showdown between the US and the Soviet Union
  • the closest we ever got to an actual nuclear war

American deployments of missiles in Italy and Turkey

  • matched by Soviet deployments of similar ballistic missiles in Cuba

the US feels threatened

  • demand that the missiles be removed

after some tense negotiations

  • the situation is defused
  • Cuban and Turkish missiles removed

however,

  • there was no strategic issue involved
  • there were already weapons — airplanes and submarines — that posed the same threat
  • rather: Kennedy worries about reelection

cray calculation:

  • officially: 10% risk that 200 million people would die
  • and they were doing this to reassure Kennedy’s reelection!

Nuclear weapons: Mutually Assured Destruction

if you remember from Dr. Strangelove

  • actually a very accurate portrayal of the logic

1945-50, US superiority

  • first strike capability for the US
  • the Soviets worried about this — the US could attack them and they couldn’t defend themselves
  • actually: some saw the

Nuclear parity, 1952-58

  • First strike for both superpowers
  • very destabilizing
  • the one who strikes first wins

The Sputnik crisis

  • the Russians send a dog into space, Laika
  • officially peaceful
  • but rockets can obviously be used for military purposes

Development of second-strike capability

  • you can strike back even if you are hit first
  • rockets in airplanes or on submarines

stabilizing

  • especially when both have it
  • Mutually Assured Destruction

Jervis, Nuclear weapons

  • that article I gave you

Flexible response

  • the threat of complete nuclear holocaust is not credible
  • what if the enemy tests it and you don’t respond?
  • you need to respond on different levels
  • a war of atrition
  • you need all kinds of different weapons

Assured destruction

  • if you start a war we will hit you with all we got
  • abolishes arms races
  • you only need to destroy the enemy once

question of why they armed themselves

The Vietnam War

this starts out as a liberation struggle against the French

  • Indo-China had been a French colony (Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia)

after Dien Bien Pu, 1954

  • quite obvious that the French cannot hold the colony
  • fear of Communist take-over
  • “domino theory”

the US takes over the war

  • gets more and more involved
  • 100,000 US soldiers
  • draft in the US — very unpopular

eventual US defeat

  • flee from the embassy in Saigon

The Non-Aligned movement

We talked about this last week

  • everything that came out of Bandung, 1955
  • Non-Aligned movement in Belgrade, 1961

use of the UN

  • we talked about that too

“World revolution”

  • last week we talked about it as the poor people of the world raising their voice
  • also: the Cold War goes to Latin America, Africa and everywhere else
  • the Soviets has a horse in most civil war and guerrilla struggles

Prague spring

a new leader, Alexander Dubcek, comes to power in Czechoslovakia

promises reform and more democracy

  • a very hopeful time

the Soviets invade

  • the “Brezhnev doctrine”
  • the Soviet Union has a right to intervene militarily anywhere in its sphere of influence

Nixon in China

civil war in China in the 1930s

  • the Communists under Mao Zedong
  • the nationalist, Guomindang, under Chiang Kaishek

they are both fighting the Japanese during WW2

  • afterwards the Communists emerge stronger

Guomindang retreat to Taiwan

  • had been a Japanese colony since 1885
  • “the island province of the republic of China”

terror against the local Taiwanese

  • effectively a foreign occupier

but they get support from the US

  • represent China in the UN
  • no representation for the Mainland

Kissinger: open up to Communist China

  • typical move of a Realist
  • we don’t care what they believe, we are looking at their national interest

China

  • already effectively broken with the Soviet Union
  • wanted to break their isolation

Nixon in China

  • the Mainland joins the UN
  • diplomatic recognition

the US is still supporting Taiwan

  • makes it all a little be awkward
  • still true today
  • “strategic ambiguity”

SALT, strategic Arms Limitation Talks

  • started in Helsinki

two rounds of bilateral conferences

  • to reduce nuclear weapons
  • Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty

second round, 1979 in Vienna

  • but the US doesn’t ratify because of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan

SALT I lapses during Putin

  • the world is arguably more dangerous today
  • there are no agreements and no treaties

Soviet Union–United States summits

The new Cold War

US Star Wars

Perestroika and glasnost

 

The fall of the Wall

The end of the cold war

  • ended with the end of the Soviet Union in 1991